|Noteworthy in December and Full-Year (FY) 2019:
- Growth in hotel demand exceeded supply growth, both in December and FY 2019, as evidenced by increases in both Guest Paid RevPAR and Occupancy.
- Total U.S. Loyalty Contribution increased 7.6% in 2019 to 56.2%, an increase of 8.3 percentage points or 17.3% growth since the book direct campaigns were launched in 2016.
- December FY booking window and Average Length of Stay (ALOS) continue to compress, making optimal business mix more important than ever.
- Group demand for FY 2019 increased at a slower pace than growth in overall room nights, 1.4% versus 1.85%. When combined with contractions in both the ALOS and booking window, this suggests that hotels could benefit from targeting group business earlier in the booking window.
- Growth in Brand.com outpaced OTA room night growth by 80bps in 2019, increasing nearly 7.5% year-over-year (YoY). Given significant customer acquisition costs differences between these two channels, independent hotels in markets with weak and declining COPE % (1) may consider a soft brand affiliation.
- The Upscale, Upper Upscale, and Luxury segments experienced improved acquisition efficiencies with declines in booking costs in 2019, while the Midscale and Economy segments experienced increases.
- Properties with lower consumer review scores, as measured by the Global Review Index (2), experienced declines in Guest Paid ADR in 2019. Those with the highest ratings (90% – 100%) exhibited the greatest increases, outpacing overall industry Guest Paid ADR growth nearly 2.75:1 demonstrating a link between consumer review scores and ADR performance.
- New York City remained under pressure in 2019, experiencing declines in Guest Paid ADR, Occupancy, ALOS, and Lead Time. In addition, the market’s 48.8% Loyalty Contribution is well below the 56.2% national average, driven by heavy third-party dependence, all of which suggest that even a modest increase in direct business through transient or group segments in select time periods would bolster performance.
- Phoenix, Los Angeles, and Chicago experienced above average occupancy gains of 2.2%, 2.1%, and 1.3% respectively in 2019, but failed to translate higher occupancies into impactful Guest Paid ADR growth. This suggests opportunity to actively shift business mix to higher rated and/or lower cost channels.
- Miami experienced a 3.2% Guest Paid RevPAR decline in 2019 as a result of both Occupancy and ADR. Coincidentally, Miami also had the lowest loyalty percentage contribution and YoY loyalty growth of the top ten markets, at just 48.0% and +5.0%, compared to the 56.2% national average and +7.6%. This suggests there may be an opportunity for some operators in Miami to better leverage Brand channels to promote occupancies and mix to more profitable business.
Additional Data Insights:
Kalibri Labs data insights are available at every level, from industry-wide to property-specific, and provide immediately actionable insights that catalyze profitable change.
If you believe your property could be doing better or you aren’t satisfied with managing to the aggregate average, reach out. Kalibri Labs can predict the Optimal Business Mix for individual hotels, revealing the most promising opportunities for growth, with specific direction on how to find and convert them.